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Showing posts with label The Panamax market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Panamax market. Show all posts

Thursday, November 3, 2011

Dry Bulk Market officially in the "Red" on lower cargo demand - Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping

Thursday, 03 November 11

The dry bulk market kept falling yesterday, on lower iron ore demand, which has caused the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) to plunge to more than one-month lows, ending the session down to 1,859 points, or by 2.77%.

All shipping segments were down yesterday, with the Capesize market sustaining the biggest losses by 3.23%. The Panamax market was down by 1.20%.

According to the latest report from Shiptrade Services, after the previous weeks’ steady increase, the market turned downwards with Capesizes suffering the most. Commenting on the Capesize market, it mentioned that “the week began positively, but lack of cargoes in the Pacific forced Owners to lower their levels, or start ballasting towards the Atlantic.

Atlantic basin was active, with good cargo volume mostly coming ex Brazil.

Rates for Transatlantic rounds concluded at USD 34.000 per day, while on the Fronthaul trade, rates for trips to F.East, levels concluded at USD 49.000 per day. On the Tubarao/Qingdao trade rates were fluctuating between USD 30.00 – 30.50 pmt but week’s closing rates softened as an effect of the ballasters from the Pacific.

Pacific basin was quiet due to the absence of the iron ore majors but Owners could see a few alternative cargoes ex S.Africa / W.Canada. Rates softened, and at weeks closing, rates for the Australia/China trade concluded at USD 11.00pmt, while on TCT basis, rates for Pacific round concluded at USD 25.000 per day basis N.China delivery” said Shiptrade.

In a separate report Fearnley’s said that “after a relatively long period with improving rates, the Cape market experiences a correction mid last week. Rates kept dropping throughout this week, with West Australia/China being done just bellow usd 10 pmt. Tubarao/Qingdao was done last week around usd 32 pmt, the lowest done this week is just below usd 25 pmt. The drop in spot rates has resulted in less period activity with chrtrs aiming around mid teens, a level perceived to be of non interest to the owners. The rest of the week is remained to be quiet with Eisbein going on in Germany” said the report.

On the Panamax front, the Nordic-based shipbroker it said “fair activity with mineral requirements in the North Atlantic from USEC and Baltic catering for healthy levels as market is tight for prompt loaders. Fixing levels in the 20´s for Baltic rounds, upper teens for TA rounds. Less activity and weakness in the USG and ECSA from an increasing number of
ballasters appears from the Med and Far East. Levels for trip out hovering in the 26 + 600 range basis APS. In the Far East activity is low, tonnage lists grow, and rates are under downward pressure. NOPAC rounds 12500, period activity scant. The general sentiment is losing confidence from a slow and descending forward market” said Fearnley’s.

Shiptrade Services mentioned that “Panamax rates dropped slightly since the cargo volume was not enough to cover the available tonnage. In the Atlantic basin, the USG market remained the driving force, especially for the Fronthaul cargoes with fixtures at USD 26.500+650.000 GBB basis APS USG. Rates for Transatlantic round remained at USD 17.500 - 18.000 per day. In the Pacific basin activity remained flat with many Charterers waiting for rates to drop further. At week’s closing, rates for S.China/S.E.Asia positions interested for

Indonesia round, concluded at USD 14.000 – 14.500 per day. Positions at N.china/Japan range interested for trips ex NOPAC could get USD 13-14.500 per day” said Shiptrade.

On the Supramax trades the Piraeus-based shipbroker mentioned that “the market followed the same trend, with less cargoes and rates dropping. In the Atlantic basin, we could notice a decrease in the number of cargoes, but some areas were more attractive. In the USG region rates for trip to continent/East Mediterranean remained steady close to USD 30.000 per day, while for trips to F.East fixtures reported at USD 38.000 per day.

On the Mediterranean/Bl.Sea market, rates for trips to F.East held around USD 24 - 25.000per day, while rates for trips to USG were between USD 9 -10.000per day. On the ECSA region, vessels concluded at rates close to USD 18-19.000per day + 400.000 ballast bonus basis APS ECSA delivery for trips to F.East, and for trips to Continent/Med rates concluded at USD 16-17.000per day. In the pacific basin, rates dropped, as there were not many cargoes from Indonesia, and many Charterers preferred not to move and see how the market will proceed.

Some fixtures concluded to direction India but levels were fluctuating between USD 8.000 – 11.000per day. On the other hand, for the N.China positions, a few cargoes ex NOPAC remained an attractive solution at rates of USD 12.000per day (M/V Prabhu Jivesh 50956 / 02’)” concluded the shipbroker.

By:Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping

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(sourced coalspot.com)

Friday, April 1, 2011

Supras Ex Richards Bay Coal Terminal to India hovering at $ 25 - 27.00 PMT - FEARNBULK


Friday, 01 April 11

Handy
Atlantic markets remain stable with more activity from the Black Sea to FEast paying in the mid 20´s on Supras. The USG remains firm paying in the mid 20´s for trips into the Med and low/mid 30´s for trips FE.

Outlook: stable. The Pacific market is still weak; the signs of weakening are lack of fresh enquiries and less trading activities. Indian activities are also very slow. Supras on WC India are seeing high teens for trip to China with freight levels hovering between usd 20 pmt. Supras ex Richards bay coal terminal/ India hovering at usd 25/27.00 pmt. Ex Red Sea to India handymax tonnages are seeing mid/high 20´s.

Panamax
With few fresh cargoes entering the market, the rates declined marginally this week. TA´s fixed in average around USD 16k, which is a tick down from last week. South America and coal from US kept the market going. In the Pacific the rates hovered around USD 16500. However rumors stated that Japan would increase their coal import, due to lack of nuclear energy. The ballasters from the Pacific and Indian Ocean obtained decent numbers, around USD 16-17k daily, which was in line with the short period market.

Capesize
Activity is up but same has yet to be reflected in rate levels as this segment remains generally overtonnaged. The main WAust/China ore trade is erratic in volume but stable in value at usd 7.35-45 pmt - equivalent to less than opex. Nuclear concerns have given some support to Atlantic coal activity/ expectations, with resultant transatlantic levels maintained at some usd 12250 and fronthaul also unchanged at around usd 23350. With an inverted forward curve, period activity is limited to 180kdwt/blt 2009 spot FEast done for 12 mos at usd 16k, 177kdwt/blt 2004 China ppt done for 4-6 mos at usd 15500 and 174kdwt/blt 2007 said to be done for 2 yrs at around usd 17500. source:Fearnbulk

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Thursday, March 10, 2011

Dry bulk market showing signs of stronger recovery - Nikos Roussanoglou


Thursday, 10 March 11

The dry bulk market jumped by 3.37% yesterday, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), moving up to 1,472 points, levels not seen in weeks. The recovery was led by the Capesize market, which burst forward by an impressive 6.52%, with the Baltic Capesize Index reaching 1,699 points, finally surpassing the relative earnings of the much smaller in size Supramax ship type (1,512 points). As for the Panamax segment, it still “rules” the dry bulk market with the highest earnings, with the Baltic Panamax Index rising yesterday by 2.29% to 2,095 points.

According to Fearnley’s latest weekly report, in the capesize market, “both actual and nominal levels rising throughout the week, assisted by improving paper values and ever-increasing bunker prices. Considering the market remains massively overtonnaged, however, this appears more of a "dead cat bouncing" situation than the start of a fundamental recovery. Atlantic stands out as the most active/promising area, with genuine end-users to a large extent making up spot demand. Average tc-levels are up some 65% to come in at around usd 8k - which at least makes it worthwile to sail instead of drifting. Period fixing is limited to a handful of key players - levels varying considerably from usd 10k done on 16,4000 dwt/blt 1996 delivery China prompt for 4-6 months, to 180kdwt/blt 2010 fixing 4-6 months at usd 15k also basis delivery china prompt - the latter interestingly almost on par with 12 months concluded on 177kdwt/blt 2004 delivering end march for major miners” said the shipbroker.

Regarding the Panamax market, it mentioned that “after a slow last week the Panamax market took a clear turn this week. Fresh grain cargoes out of ECSA appeared and owners starting to ballast their vsls from Pacific in the same direction. Typical rates to secure ECSA grain business around 19,000/Day. Moreover, a more active period market with operators booking short period tonnage to cover grain business at levels rising from mid 17 towards the 19,000 mark. Atlantic still fine balanced and Continent tight for prompt tonnage with TA rounds fixed at 16-18k. The Pacific spot market not as enthusiastic. However, owners able to secure levels around the healthy mid teens. Propelled by the fresh grain orders, more active short period market and a slightly positive forward curve, nervousness turned into a growing positive sentiment. As the cape market also show signs of a recovery owners are raising their levels for longer periods. Takers are still reluctant though” the report noted.

In a separate weekly analysis by Commodore Research & Consultancy, “Chinese iron ore fixtures have remained low due the near record amount of iron ore that is stockpiled at Chinese ports. 21 vessels were reportedly chartered to export iron ore to China last week, 1 less than the previous week. Chinese thermal coal fixtures have also remained low in recent weeks due to robust port stockpiles, but a greater than usual amount of coal fixtures did come to the market last week. Chinese steel production could come under a small amount of near-term pressure due to falling prices and the continued surge in domestic steel stockpiles. Market sentiment inside and outside of China remains firm. Similarly, Commodore mentioned that coastal shipping rates continue to rebound, with rates to haul grain along the Chinese coast now finding support (only rates to ship coal were previously finding support).

Rates to haul coal continue to find the most support; rates to haul iron ore remain flat. Coastal rates to ship coal from Qinhuangdao (located in northeastern China) to Shanghai have increased to about $6.71/ton, an increase of $1.06 (19%) from a week ago. Rates to haul coal from Qinhuangdao to Zhejiang province (located directly south of Shanghai) have increased to $6.87/ton, an increase of $0.92 (15%) from a week ago” said Commodore.

Thermal coal demand remains firm and the 6 vessels chartered to ship thermal coal to China last week were up slightly from the trailing four-week average. On average, 4 vessels were chartered to export thermal coal to China during the weeks ending February 4 to February 25. A large amount of coal remains stockpiled at Qinhuangdao and other major Chinese coal ports which continues to result in Chinese thermal fixture volumes remaining much lower than the robust fixture activity seen in late November through early December.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping

Tags : Qinhuangdao port, thermal coal shipment,

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Tuesday, March 8, 2011

The Panamax market this week firmed up - BRS


Tuesday, 08 March 2011

Underlining the unpredictability of the current market, rates for all dry bulk segments swung up again last week. Stronger exports out of South America lifted the smaller sizes, while better transatlantic demand pushed Cape rates up.

In the iron ore segment, a short-term surge in demand seems possible after India imposed new export taxes on the commodity. The Federation of Indian Mineral Industries said it expected ore exports to fall between 30-35% a year as a result. Nearly all of India’s iron ore shipments are destined for China, and it is expected there could be a rush of Chinese buying before the tax is imposed on April 1. So far, existing contracts out of India are being honoured, but with next to no fresh contracts being signed, the impact of the change is likely to be more obvious next month.

Supramax/Handy

The Supramax market continued its upward trend from the previous week, and the BSI gained 6% to reach a TC average of US$15,340 by Friday. The increase was much stronger in the Pacific basin than in the Atlantic, and the NOPAC round gained 13% to reach about US$15,500 by the end of the week. Despite better market conditions in the Pacific, owners with Supras in the Atlantic were reluctant to fix them for a trip out. The market in the Continent was strong thanks to scrap and fertilizer orders, Supras getting about US$20,000 for a trip with scrap from Cont/Baltic with redelivery east Med, and the same level was fixed for dop Continent and redelivery China via the Cape of Good Hope. The US Gulf market remained stable with Supras getting fixed at US$24,000 basis dop USG and redelivery Skaw/Passero range, whereas USG to the East was fixed in the low US$30,000s per day. The Pacific market started strong, with index type Supras getting mid teens for Pacific rounds, while India positioned ships were fixing at similar levels out of the west coast, and mid/high teens out of the east. Rates steadily picked up towards the end of the week (due to tonnage getting tight for mid March dates), while a flurry of fixing resulted in ships in the Far East getting closer to high teens for Pacific rounds. West coast India to China was fixing in the mid/ high teens, and east coast India remained at similar levels. Backhaul on Supras climbed to close to US$10,000, up from around US$7-8,000. Short period was around mid to mid/high teens, depending on specs and position, and this remained steady all week.

Panamax
The Panamax market this week firmed up in all basins, with a week-on-week increase of over US$1,000 in the Atlantic to reach US$16,000 per day, and more than US$1,500 in the Pacific, to close at US$14,800 per day, pushing the 4TC average to US$16,000 per day. These trends were against a pretty high global offering of tonnage (especially in the Atlantic), except in the Indian Ocean which was clearly under pressure due to a lack of candidates able to carry iron ore to China, or to ballast to pick up grains for China via ECSA. This route was paying around US$19,000 per day for delivery India. Period activity, linked to the firmer FFA market, increased by US$1,000 per day ie around US$18,000 per day on a TESS 74 delivery Far East for short period.

Capesize
An 8% increase in the BCI this week, with greater activity in the Atlantic pushing rates. The BCI finished on Friday at 1,427 points, while the time charter average limped above US$5,700 per day. The prospects of more activity out of Australia gave some small confidence to the market, and April and May FFA rates rose to US$14,500 and US$16,400 respectively. Monday saw another US1,000 added to the 4TC, which suggests greater confidence for the week ahead, though which the current volatility there seems to be no certainty it will last.
Reported by - Barry Rogliano Salles

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