Freight Markets could soften next week due to Japanese Ports closure and Libyan crisis -Vistaar

Mar21, 2011

The BDI was down by 1.98 pct (closing at 1531 points) mainly due to Cape index which was down by almost 11 pct and closed 1687 points.

The panama index was down by only 1.78 pct and closed at 2094 points. The Supramax and Handy size index were holding which was up by almost 3 pct and closed at 1574 points and 755 points respectively.

The Supramax vessels opening Feast/SE Asia region were seen fixed at healthy levels at around 16000 delivery N. China. The effects of 10-12 Japanese ports closure and the Libyan crisis will have an effect on shipping and it appears the markets could soften next week.

The average charter rates was at Cape/US$ 9369 per day , Panamax/US$ 16821 per day , Supramax/US$ 16458 per day and Handy size/US$ 11336 per day.

The Supramax index in the feast (S6 route) continued to be steady and was and was up by 1.28 pct (up by US$ 202 per day) and closed at US$ 15995 per day (last week US$ 15793 per day). The EC India/ China (S7 route) continued to softened and was down by 4.92 pct (down by US$ 825 per day) and closed at US$ 15938 per day (last week US$ 16763 per day). The S6 route is likely to continue to be steady/soft , whereas the S7 is likely to remain soft.

The futures for three years (2011-2013) was at around Cape/US$ 19000 per day, Panamax/US$ 16500 per day, Supramax/US$ 15000 per day , Handy size/US$ 11500 per day.

The congestion in EC Australia almost at same levels at 72 vessels this week (last week 81 vessels). The vessels waiting at main coal loading ports were at Hay point/5, DBCT/18, Gladstone/10, Abbot Point/1l, New Castle/36, Port Kembla/2 vessels. On the WC Australia iron ore vessels waiting reduced to 42 vessels (last week 61 vessels).

The waiting at Indian ports for coal vessels was quite normal.

The crude oil prices continued to be firm and closed at US$ 114.51 per barrel (last week US$ 113.47 per barrel). Bunker prices also firmed up during the week but closed lower US$ 643.00 pmt (last week US$ 638.50 pmt) for IFO 380 cst ex Singapore on 18th March 2011.

Click here for Vistaar’s forecasted (terms & conditions apply) spot freight rates for coal & Iron-ore cargo for specific routes (cs) Reported by Vistaar Shipping, Singapore

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THE FUTURES FOR 2011-2013 WAS AT AROUND US$ 16,500 & US$ 15,000 PANAMAX & SUPRAMAX PER DAY RESPECTIVELY

Sunday, 06 February 11
With the Chinese new year holidays this week, the market has been fairly quite as expected.
The BDI saw a bigger drop compared to last week and was down by about 8 pct and closed at 1,043 points. It will be interesting to see if the BDI will go below 1,000 points. But seems the BDI has almost bottomed out and may not go down much.
The Cape index also was down by about 5 pct and closed at 1,299 points, with the average charter rate at all time low at US$ 5,161 per day. The Panamax index was almost steady and was up just by about 1 pct and closed at 1,348 points. Supramax and Handy size index was also down by about 10 pct and closed at 1,090 points and 643 points respectively.
The cyclonic weather in Queensland and shippers declaring force majeure the situation has added to the market woes. The situation is expected to return to normal in about a week time.
The average charter rates was at Cape/US$ 5,161 per day , Panamax/US$ 10,786 per day , Supramax/US$ 11,398 per day and Handy size/US$ 9,422 per day.
The Supramax index in the feast (S6 route) was down by US$ 404 per day (down by 5.23 pct) and closed at US$ 7,310 per day (last week US$ 7,714 per day). The EC India/ China (S7 route) was down by 128 points (up by 1.11 pct) and closed at US$ 11,370 per day (last week US$ 11,498 per day). The S6 route is likely to be steady/soft next week.
According to Vistaar singapore, the futures for three years (2011-2013) was at around Cape/US$ 20,000 per day, Panamax/US$ 16,500 per day, Supramax/US$ 15,000 per day , Handy size/US$ 10,750 per day.
The congestion in EC Australia was almost same at 107 vessels this week (last week 106 vessels). The vessels waiting at main coal loading ports were at Hay point/17, DBCT/33, Gladstone/10, Abbot Point/2, New Castle/39, Port Kembla/4 vessels. On the WC Australia iron ore vessels waiting increased to 45 vessels (last week 31 vessels).
The waiting at Indian ports for coal vessels was quite normal except for Paradip, Haldia, Kandla where the berthing delays was high with berthing delays of about 10/12 days.
The crude prices firmed up mainly due to Egyptian crisis and Brent crude prices was at US$ 100.12 per barrel (last week US$ 99.31 per barrel). Bunker prices also firmed up sharply and was at US$ 582.00 pmt (last week US$ 552.00 pmt) for IFO 380 cst ex Singapore on 4th Feb 2011.
Reported by Vistaar Shipping, Singapore
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