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Friday, September 30, 2011

Indian iron ore market getting active - FEARNLEYS AS

Friday, 30 September 11

Handy
The Atlantic market continued its strong trend with fresh cargoes entering the market. Vessels open US Gulf fixed tick above US$ 27k back to the Continent and tonnage from Black Sea. Fixed to the east fetching around US$ 24/25k per day. Baltic to Brazil fixed around US$ 8k. The Pacific market remains firm but cooling off a bit by end of the week. For Indo India and Thai rounds, large eco Supra can fetch close to US$ 17k. Indian iron ore market getting active with fresh enquiries from WCI and Supras fixing around US$ 13k for WCI-China and 12k for ECI-China. RBCT-India round rates are around US$ 12k. Red Sea fertilizers to India are fixed around mid 20s. Short period rates are around 14k for large Supras but seeing less takers.

Panamax
The Panamax market started this week on a quiet note with only USG-front haul giving some fuel to the levels. In the Atlantic the market is firming up, tighter with tonnage and some fresh minerals and grains requirements entering the market. TA rounds are now fetching around US$ 14,500 while some claim to have seen US$ 16k for the shorter Baltic rounds. The front hauls closer to mid 20´s with additional premium for shorter trips via Aden. In the Pacific activity is slowing down in all areas. Some analysts warn that China´s emergency coal reserve provision is too small, and they might pick up the pase they had earlier on Indonesian coal. Mid week the Pac rounds are being fixed at around US$ 11k while the backhauls are getting around US$ 4,500. The period market has shown some activity with a few short period fixtures in the mid 12k range. With the coming holidays in China activity and levels could suffer next week.

Cape size
A psychological barrier seems to kick in every time spot levels for this segment climb close to US$ 30k. A robust strengthening on high volume is turning into a soft slide as activity cools down and nervousness spread. Despite last few days´ developments, average daily earnings are still up 12% w-o-w at US$ 28k, and fundamental parameters still appear robust for transatlantic and pacific trades. Period activity has been fair on the back of paper support - most recently exemplified by 2 x 206kdwt Newcastle max NBs delivering Feb + April 2012 for about 4 years to major energy producers at US$ 18k, 175kdwt/built 2010 delivering Japan early Oct done for 4-6 months at US$ 19k and also 176kdwt/built 2010 delivering N. China early Oct for 4-6 months at US$ 18k.

source: FEARNBULK, Coalspot

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